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First some properties about the Sum of squared residuals and the linear regression function are restated. In particular three properties that an ideal fitted regression line must fulfill are discussed. Then, the R squared is defined using the measures of the Sum of squared residuals, the total sum of squares and the sum of explained squares.
Econometrics // Lecture 3: OLS and Goodness-Of-Fit (R-Squared)
First some definitions regarding econometrics, regressions, types of data and independent and dependent variables are given. Then the basic function of a simple regression analysis is explained. Lastly, there is discussion of the meaning of the error term.
Econometrics // Lecture 1: Introduction
Banking 101 is a series of 6 short videos that ask the following questions: How do banks work and how is money created? Is reveals common misunderstandings of money creation and the role of banks. Furthermore, the videos show how models taught in many introductory classes to economics (Econ 101) do not reflect those processes:
Part 1) “Misconceptions around Banking” questions common comprehensions of how banks work (savings = investments).
Part 2) “What's wrong with the money multiplier” states that the model of the money multiplies is inaccurate.
Part 3) “How is money really made by banks” explains the process of money creation, loans and inter-bank settlement.
Part 4) “How much money banks create?” asks what limits the money creation by banks and presents the difference between reserve ratio, liquidity ration, equity and refers to the inter-bank market.
Part 5) Explores the question if banks create money or just credit and especially refers to credit risks.
Part 6) Explains how money gets destroyed when loans are paid back.
Note: The videos refer to the UK monetary and banking system, some explanations don't apply to other banking systems, e.g. the reserve ratio.
How much money can banks create - Banking 101 (Part 4 of 6)
In the interview, Robert Skidelsky discusses the emergence of political influence of a certain school of economic thought and how the success of an economic theory depends on the power relations in the society. He introduces the historical example of Keynesian economics and its replacement by liberal economic theory and policy in the aftermath of the Great Depression, and transfers this historical case to the dominant paradigm of austerity policies in the Europe as response to rising public debts caused by the Financial Crisis. He contrasts austerity policies with a Keynesian approach. Furthermore, he relates the targets of policy to the underlying power structures, for example when not the reduction of unemployment but the protection of financial capital is politically addressed.
Economics and Political Power during the Crisis
Silvia Federici illustrates the potential of the concept of the commons as way of resistance and reorganization of the society in times of social injustice and ecological crisis. Amongst others, she outlines the role of women in the commons movement.
Federici explains why she regards the theory of the tragedy of the commons as unfounded and why she considers Marx's concept of primitive accumulation as still appropriate to describe current events of deprivation, such as land grabbing.
The Struggle for the Commons
Esther Duflo discusses the fact that in social policy one cannot check the big questions, i.e. whether development assistance as an aggregate is helpful, because there is no counterfactual. She then suggests to focus on smaller questions such as what prevents or incentiveses people from immunizing their kids or whether mosquito bednets should be distributed for free. These questions can be answered by using randomized control trials as in the medical sciences. Thus, she argues, by bringing the experimental method to social policy analysis better decisions as to where allocate funds can be made.
Social experiments to fight poverty
Christoph Freydorf geht der Frage nach, ob Marktwirtschaft ohne das Privateigentum an natürlichen Ressourcen funktionieren kann. Zunächst präsentiert er gängige Argumentationslinien in der Ökonomie, die sich für die Notwendigkeit von Privateigentum an Ressourcen aussprechen, insbesondere Leistungsgerechtigkeit und effizienter Nutzung. Anschließend präsentiert Freydorf Kritik an diesen Argumente und stellt eine ordnungspolitische Regulierung vor, die diese Kritik aufnimmt: die Ausgabe von und den Handel mit Ressourcenzertifikaten.
Marktwirtschaft ohne Privateigentum an natürlichen Ressourcen
Banking 101 is a series of 6 short videos that ask the following questions: How do banks work and how is money created? Is reveals common misunderstandings of money creation and the role of banks. Furthermore, the videos show how models taught in many introductory classes to economics (Econ 101) do not reflect those processes:
Part 1) “Misconceptions around Banking” questions common comprehensions of how banks work (savings = investments).
Part 2) “What's wrong with the money multiplier” states that the model of the money multiplies is inaccurate.
Part 3) “How is money really made by banks” explains the process of money creation, loans and inter-bank settlement.
Part 4) “How much money banks create?” asks what limits the money creation by banks and presents the difference between reserve ratio, liquidity ration, equity and refers to the inter-bank market.
Part 5) Explores the question if banks create money or just credit and especially refers to credit risks.
Part 6) Explains how money gets destroyed when loans are paid back.
Note: The videos refer to the UK monetary and banking system, some explanations don't apply to other banking systems, e.g. the reserve ratio.
How is money really made by banks? - Banking 101 (Part 3 of 6)
Sebastian Thieme geht der Frage nach, ob die Wirtschaftswissenschaften misanthropische Elemente und Wirkungen hat. Thiemes Vortrag befasst sich mit menschenfeindlichen Abwertungen, die in einem ökonomischen Kontext stehen (z.B. die Wertung von Arbeitslosigkeit als unproduktiv) und deren sozialpolitischen Auswirkungen. Er diskutiert dabei die Rolle von Konzepten wie Effizienz, Nützlichkeit, Wettbewerb, Konkurrenz und Selektion.
Misanthropie und Ökonomik
Walter Ötsch stellt die Ergebnisse einer Netzwerkanalyse eines Datensatzes zu Deutschen ordoliberalen Ökonomen in der Nachkriegszeit vor. Um die Daten zu interpretieren, verwendet er die Netzwerktheorie von Bruno Latour und kontextualisiert die Verbindungen der Personen im Netzwerk mit historischen Daten. Die Interpretation der Daten legt nahe, dass schon vor dem Zweiten Weltkrieg, aber insbesondere danach, Ordoliberale enge Verbindungen mit politischen und unternehmerischen Akteuren sowie Akademikern der Neoklassischen und Österreichischen Tradition hatte. Diese Netzwerke hatten auch eine internationale Dimension. Laut Ötsch hielt diese Netzwerke der gemeinsame Gegenpol zur Keynesianischen Theorie zusammen sowie ihre binäre Interpretation des Markt-Staat Verhältnisses.
Marktradikalismus als politische Ökonomie - Das Beispiel der Ordoliberalen
In this radio interview, Andrew Sayer first outlines some features of neoliberalism and policies that are associated with it. Then a difference between wealth creation via investment and wealth extraction by means of lending money to those deprived of it or by acquiring property such as real estate or financial assets on the secondary market as absentee owner is established. In this context reference is made to J.A. Hobson's concept of "improperty." Finally, there are some words on the power dynamics associated with capitalism and its relation to climate change.
Why We Can’t Afford the Rich
In this lecture Ben Fine aims at stimulating interest for and explaining the relevance of Marxist Political Economy. Ben Fine dedicates the first half of his comprehensible lecture to the question on how mainstream economics became the way it is by explaining its key concepts and how those evolved during the past 150 years. While critically reflecting those concept he also emphasizes that mainstream economics does not consider historical processes. This is the point of departure on his presentation of the core terms and crucial categories of Marxist Political Economy: e.g. the production process and class relations (Part 1). Part 2 examines the consequences of the capitalist mode of production and its propensity to crises. Ben Fine illustrates this Marxist analysis with the example of the current crisis and explains current conditions for the accumulation of capital.
Introduction to Marxist Economics (Part 2)
In this lecture Ben Fine aims at stimulating interest for and explaining the relevance of Marxist Political Economy. Ben Fine dedicates the first half of his comprehensible lecture to the question on how mainstream economics became the way it is by explaining its key concepts and how those evolved during the past 150 years. While critically reflecting those concept he also emphasizes that mainstream economics does not consider historical processes. This is the point of departure on his presentation of the core terms and crucial categories of Marxist Political Economy: e.g. the production process and class relations (Part 1). Part 2 examines the consequences of the capitalist mode of production and its propensity to crises. Ben Fine illustrates this Marxist analysis with the example of the current crisis and explains current conditions for the accumulation of capital.
Introduction to Marxist Economics (Part 1)
Stiglitz answers the question why globalization and world trade has not delivered on its promise of increased well being as much as classical economists thought, by pointing to the power asymmetries: firstly, between industrialized nations and developing nations and secondly, between special corporate interest and social interests. In his analysis, developed countries and MNCs were able to extract the benefits, while shifting the costs (i.e. pollution) to states and communities with lesser power. Amongst many other historical examples the pharmaceutical and the mining industry are discussed to some length.
Stiglitz on globalization, why globalization fails? The trade agreements
Galbraith first explores the social darwinism of Herbert Spencer and others that served as apology for the highly unequal distribution of wealth in the US at the end of the 19th century and naturalized differences in wealth by appealing to the concept of natural selection of the fittest. Then some instances of the unscrupulous business practices (i.e. robberies) of the American railroad tycoons and other business magnates are recounted. Lastly, Galbraith lines out some of the arguments of Thorstein Veblen, who delegitimized and ridiculed the business and leisure activities of the rich by putting them in the same category as predatory and ritualized practices of primitive or ancient societies.
The Age of Uncertainty Episode 2 - The Manners and Morals of High Capitalism
In this keynote lecture during the conference „The Spectre of Stagnation? Europe in the World Economy“, Till van Treek presents research on how changes in income distribution lead to macroeconomic instability and crisis, focusing on currents accounts. Treek presents the relative income hypothesis in contrast to other mainstream and Post-Keynesian explanations. The relative income hypothesis proposes that aggregate demand increases and savings decrease with rising personal income inequality due to upward looking status comparison – but effects depend on the quantile where income inequality increases. Treek points to the importance of accounting for both income and functional income distribution and underlines his arguments with data comparing different pattern in Germany and the U.S.
Macroeconomics of inequality & instability - Inequality, imbalances and the crisis
Silvia Federici outlines the content of her book „Caliban and the Witch - Women, the Body and Primitive Accumulation“. Departing from a critique of the Marxist blindspot on reproductive labour, Federici aims at researching the historical process by which the exploitation of women and the construction of the unproductive housewife has been established. Federici points to the transition from the feudal to the capitalist mode of production and explains how the gender specific prosecution (witch hunt) was linked to necessity of control over bodies and the sexuality in the great transformation. Federici also presents arguments why this research is highly relevant for the analysis of women's situation in current capitalism.
Caliban and the Witch
Economist and politician Costas Lapavitsas: presents differing theoretical definitions of financialization, namely from Marxist and Post-Keynesian thinkers and compares their approaches. By presenting pattern and features of the economic and financial crisis, he interprets the latter as a crisis of financialization. Lapavitsas emphasizes his arguments by presenting data from the U.S. and Germany on the transformation of business, banks and households.
The Financialisation of Capitalism
Anne-Kathrin Krug gibt eine Einführung in die marxistische Analyse der kapitalistischen Produktion und erläutert dabei Begriffe wie Arbeit, Ware oder Wert. Anschließend erläutert sie Marx Krisenzyklustheorie. Dabei stellt sie den Fall der Profitrate als mögliche Erklärung von Krisen dar, zeigt aber auch, dass es gegenläufige Tendenzen gibt. Weiter Themen des Vortrages sind Unterkonsumption und Möglichkeiten von Krisen (Produktions-, Handelskrisen und Geldkrisen).
Marxsche Krisentheorie
In this lecture, Konstantinos Katsikopoulos presents the concept of bounded rationality and contrasts two - as he calls it - cultures of research and analysis within Behavioral Economics: an "idealistic" and a "pragmatic" approach. Thereby, Katsikopoulos discusses amongst others their different assumptions on decision making (utility optimization vs. achievement of a satisfactory outcome), the psychological process as well as the epistemic aim and implications on policy recommendations (nudging vs. education).
Bounded Rationality: The Two Cultures
Ha Joon Chang exposes the main ideas of his book Bad Samaritans, namely that historically states have developed and industrialized by making policy interventions related to industry protection, tariffs and subsidies and not by opening their markets to free trade. Chang elaborates on the examples of Japan, the US, Singapore and Germany amongst others to show that an interventionist path to development has been the regularity and not an anomaly. In the end of the lecture, he argues that they idea of a level playing field should be replaced by a trade order that accounts for differences in power and economic capacities of different countries. The last 20 minutes are questions and answers.
Ha-Joon Chang - Bad Samaritans: The Myth of Free Trade and the Secret History of Capitalism
Nach einem kurzen wissenschaftstheoretischem Einstieg zur prä-analystischen Vision der Ökologischen Ökonomik, präsentiert Bernd Siebenhüner die Kernideen der Theorieschule. Dabei grenzt er diese von der Umwelt- & Ressourcenökonomik ab und erläutert auch Unterschiede zur Neoklassik. Während dieser Einführung in die Ökologische Ökonomik erläutert Siebenhüner Begriffe wie planetare Grenzen, Nachhaltigkeit oder Thermodynamik. Dabei gebt er insbesondere auf die Leitvision „Komplementarität statt Substituierbarkeit“ ein und stellt diese den in Kontext von schwacher und starker Nachhaltigkeit. Im Anschluss präsentiert Siebenhüner die Debatten um Wachstum und Ökosystemleistungen in der Ökologischen Ökonomik.
Ökologische Ökonomik
Departing from an analysis of women's employment and changing gender regimes in the pre crisis period, Jill Rubery illustrates how the crisis affects men's and women's employment differently. Afterwards, she discusses the crisis' impact on gender relations. Based on empirical findings, she shows how men were more affected by the recession and women more by austerity and presents possible explanations. Those are furthermore linked to women's employment decisions and prevalent gender regimes. In particular, Rubery discusses cut backs in public spendings on care, flexibilization and the role of conservative gender ideologies.
Economic crisis and austerity: challenges to gender equality
Zuerst kritisiert Prof. Krämer die moderne Makroökonomik mit repräsentativen Agenten. Dann gibt er einen Überblick zu den Denkschulen der Makroökonomik seit Keynes. Es folgt eine Kritik an der Mikrofundierung und zum Schluss werden noch ein paar Beispiele heterodoxer bzw. Post Keynesianischer Makro erläutert.
Von John Maynard Keynes zu "Modern Macro"
Wolfram Elsner stellt in dieser Vorlesung die Charakteristika und grundlegende Konzepte der evolutionären institutionelle Ökonomik dar und kontrastiert dieser immer wieder mit denen der Neoklassik (u.a. im Bezug auf Märkte oder offene Systeme). Hierbei präsentiert er insbesondere die Beiträge Thorstein Veblens. Elsner skizziert evolutionäre Prozesse und stellt die Frage, welche Rolle Institutionen hierbei zukommt. Diese Ausführungen schmückt er mit zahlreichen Anekdoten.
Institutionelle und evolutorische Ökonomik
Welche Finanzregulierungen gab und gibt es in der Europäischen Union seit der Finanzkrise? Der Vortrag gibt einen Überblick über verschiedene Regulierungen, diskutiert das Problem „too big to fail“, den Einheitlichen Bankenaufsichtsmechanismus und Interessenskonflikte zwischen der Europäischen Zentralbank und der Europäischen Bankenaufsichtsbehörde.
Grundlagen zu Finanzmarktreformen
Helge Peukert referiert über die Entwicklung des Finanzsystems in Europa nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg. Dabei erläutert er verschiedene Ursachen der Eurokrise, die Rolle von Schulden bei der Geldschöpfung und die Auswirkungen dessen in Finanzkrisen. Zum Schluss werden Vorschläge zu Reformen des Finanzsystems in der Eurozone (unter anderem Vollgeldreform, Bankenzerschlagung, Schuldentilgung) präsentiert.
Money make the world go ’round”. Geld, Schulden und die Eurokrise
Was heißt Pluralität und warum soll Wissenschaft oder die Ökonomie plural sein? Mit diesen Fragen befasst sich Arne Heise im Vortrag „Wissenschaftstheorie und Pluralität in der Wirtschaftswissenschaft“. Dabei kontrastiert er die Auffassung von Pluralität und Paradigmen unterschiedlicher Denker, u.a. von Kuhn und Lakatos. Zudem unterscheidet er Pluralität von Variation, welche Pluralität innerhalb eines Paradigmas bedeuten würde. Die Argumentation erläutert er mit vielen Beispielen, u.a. welche ökonomischen Paradigmen er als plural und welche als Variation betrachtet. Im Anschluss präsentiert Heise eine Struktur zur Aufteilung von Forschungsprogrammen (Vergleich von Kernannahmen, Methoden und Heuristiken). Zuletzt geht Heise auf die paradigmatische Entwicklung der Wirtschaftswissenschaft ein, insbesondere auf die De-Pluralisierung der VWL seit den 1970er Jahren, was er anhand von Lehrstuhl Besetzungen ausführt.
Der Vortrag bietet eine gut Möglichkeit, die Überlegungen hinter der Struktur von Exploring Economics nachzuverfolgen.
Wissenschaftstheorie
Ausgehend von Keynes Werk "Allgemeine Theorie der Beschäftigung, des Zinses und des Gelds" erläutert Dirk Ehnts die Grundzüge der Keynesianischen Wirtschaftstheorie und insbesondere die Unterschiede zu neoklassischen Annahmen und Modellen. Anschließend geht er auf den Post-Keynesianismus ein: Welcher Konsens und Dissens besteht unter Post-Keynesianern und welche sind die Sternstunden der Theorieschule? Kernthemen des Vortrags sind Geldkreislauf, Staatsverschuldung und Kredite.
Post-Keynesianismus (Eine sehr kurze Einführung)
Warum wurden nach der Finanzkrise weder die Finanz- und Wirtschaftsordnung noch die Wirtschaftswissenschaft angepasst oder erneuert? Warum wird an vorherrschenden Prinzipien und Theorien festgehalten? Joseph Vogl geht diesen Fragen im Vortrag „Das seltsame Überleben der Theodizee in der Ökonomie“ nach und spricht von einer Oikodizee, einer Glaubensehre in der Ökonomie, einem metaphysischem Ansatz und einer dogmatischen Substanz im ökonomischen Denken, die nicht angetastet wird. Ein besonderes Augenmerk der Vortrages liegt auf ökonomischen Prognosen in der Krise und Theorien zu Märkten.
Das seltsame Überleben der Theodizee in der Ökonomie
Carsten Dreher starts with a historical perspective on the development of evolutionary economics by mentioning the difficulties of neoclassical economics to explain economic growth and by referring to the work of Joseph Schumpeter. Then some concepts such as business cycles, path dependencies are shortly explained. Dreher continues by introducing two different approaches in evolutionary economics, a micro centred approach that is associated with Nelson and Winter's work and a macro institutional and historical approach that has been pursued amongst others by Chris Freeman. Lastly the policy implications of treating economies as innovation systems are discussed and a summary of the differences of neoclassical and evolutionary economics is provided.
Innovationsökonomie - Prof. Carsten Dreher @FU-Berlin
Feminist economist Nancy Folbre presents a historical analysis of the interrelated development of Patriarchy and Capitalism. She describes the role of women in the reproduction of labour, their “specialization” in care and their changing involvement in the labour market. Folbre argues that capitalism weakens patriarchy but at the same time relies on unpaid caring activities.
Women's Work and the Limits of Capitalism
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